Burnley vs Liverpool Prediction: Premier League Preview, Team News & Odds: 14/9/2025

After a one-year absence, Burnley have returned to the Premier League, earning automatic promotion last season by finishing second in the Championship. Vincent Kompany’s side looked assured throughout the campaign, sealing direct qualification without the nerve-wracking route of the playoffs. Now back among the elite, the Clarets face the challenge of adapting to the speed and physicality of top-flight football.

Burnley’s early results show flashes of promise. They opened with a confident 2-0 home win over Sunderland, but reality struck in defeats against Tottenham (3-0) and Manchester United (3-2), the latter decided by a late penalty. Turf Moor remains their strongest weapon, though, with Burnley conceding only two goals at home so far.

Liverpool’s Title Defence Under Arne Slot

On the other side, Liverpool arrive as reigning champions under new manager Arne Slot, who masterminded a title-winning campaign last season with a commanding 10-point lead at the top. Slot’s Reds are targeting another domestic triumph while also aiming to make deep runs in Europe and the cups.

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Their campaign began shakily with a Community Shield loss to Crystal Palace on penalties after a 2-2 draw, but they have since strung together key league wins. Victories over Bournemouth (4-2), Newcastle (3-2), and Arsenal (1-0) highlight their ability to grind out results, even when not at their fluent best.

Tactical Battle at Turf Moor

Burnley will likely set up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, with Jaidon Anthony and Loum Tchaouna tasked with stretching Liverpool’s full-backs. Jacob Bruun Larsen could be a pivotal figure in transition, testing the Reds’ high defensive line.

Liverpool, however, are expected to dominate possession. Mo Salah and Cody Gakpo provide width and pace, while Dominik Szoboszlai’s set-piece threat and Florian Wirtz’s creativity give Slot’s side multiple ways to break down stubborn opposition. Burnley’s defensive organisation, particularly at Turf Moor, could frustrate Liverpool for stretches, but maintaining concentration over 90 minutes will be the real test.

Prediction:

Liverpool have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning the last five head-to-head meetings. Yet Turf Moor has historically been an awkward venue for visiting sides, especially against a Burnley team eager to prove they belong back at this level.

A 2-1 away win looks plausible. Burnley may find the net first—possibly from a set piece or a quick counterattack—but Liverpool’s firepower and depth should turn the tide in the second half. Expect Salah or another late-game specialist to provide the decisive blow as the Reds continue their push to retain the title.

Prediction: Burnley 1 – 3 Liverpool

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