The Daily Star Ireland
As the 2026 World Cup approaches, Ireland’s absence from the tournament since 2002 will be nearly 24 years old. The nation’s last World Cup appearance ended in a heartbreaking penalty shoot-out defeat to Spain, a game they arguably should have won.
Despite near-misses since, including the infamous Thierry Henry handball incident in 2010, Ireland’s attempts to qualify have been thwarted. However, with the 2026 World Cup expanding to 48 teams, there is a glimmer of hope for the team.
A New Structure and Group Stage Outlook
The 2026 World Cup will see a significant increase in the number of qualifying spots for European teams, rising from 13 to 16. This slight improvement offers some optimism, especially for Ireland, who have been placed in a four-team group that includes Portugal, Denmark, Hungary, and Armenia. The top 12 group winners will automatically qualify, while second-place teams can compete in a playoff round. While Ireland remains an underdog, manager Heimir Hallgrimsson’s revamped squad may have a good chance in the six-match campaign.
The Key Opponents: Portugal, Denmark, Hungary, and Armenia
- Portugal or Denmark?
Ireland would likely prefer to face Denmark, as Portugal, with their formidable attacking lineup, remains a tough challenge. While Ireland has given Portugal trouble in previous encounters, including a near win in 2022, the gap between the two teams was stark when they met for a Euro 2024 warm-up match. Denmark, though a strong side, is seen as a team in decline, having failed to impress in recent competitions. However, they remain a model for Ireland, with their ability to punch above their weight. A matchup against Denmark could offer Hallgrimsson a better chance to implement a structured game plan. - Hungary’s Challenge
Hungary, the second seed in Ireland’s group, presents a balanced mix of strength and inconsistency. With standout midfielder Dominik Szoboszlai, they made an impact in Euro 2024 qualifying but struggled in their Nations League campaign. While Hungary’s form has been up and down, Ireland has reason to feel confident after a recent victory in a friendly match. Ireland will look to capitalize on Hungary’s unpredictability. - Armenia: Must-Win Games
Armenia is considered a must-win for Ireland if they are to have any hope of qualifying. Recent encounters have shown Ireland can secure points against Armenia, and Hallgrimsson’s side will be expected to take all six points in their home and away fixtures to remain competitive in the group.
Importance of a Strong Start
Ireland’s chances of qualification will depend heavily on a strong start to the campaign. Recent years have seen poor performances in the June window, which has often led to early eliminations. However, September could be the ideal time for the team to build momentum. Ireland’s first fixtures—home games against Hungary and away to Armenia—are both winnable, giving the team a chance to begin with maximum points. A positive start would set the stage for the October fixtures, where Ireland will face tougher competition from Portugal or Denmark.
If Ireland can secure 6 or 7 points from the first half of the campaign, they might start to believe in the possibility of qualification. For the first time in years, Irish fans can dare to dream of the 2026 World Cup.
