Kerry vs Armagh All-Ireland Senior Football Championship Prediction, Preview, Players: 29/6/2025

On Sunday, June 29, 2025, at 4:00 PM, Kerry and Armagh will face off at Croke Park in the All-Ireland Senior Football Championship Quarter-Final. This encounter is a rematch of last year’s semi-final, where Armagh edged Kerry after extra time. Both teams are eager to secure a spot in the semi-finals, making this a highly anticipated clash.

Kerry Overview

Kerry enters this quarter-final with a mix of optimism and concern. Their recent 3-20 to 1-17 victory over Cavan showcased their offensive prowess, particularly through David Clifford’s remarkable 3-7 performance. However, injuries have plagued the team, with key players like Mike Breen, Tony Brosnan, Diarmuid O’Connor, and Tadhg Morley ruled out. Paul Geaney returns to the bench after a shoulder injury, while Paudie Clifford is also listed as a substitute. These absences have led to Micheál Burns and Dylan Casey joining the starting lineup.

 

Armagh Overview

Armagh, the defending champions, have demonstrated resilience throughout the championship. Despite a narrow Ulster Final defeat to Donegal after extra time, they secured their quarter-final spot with strong performances, including a 1-18 to 1-16 victory over Kerry in last year’s semi-final. Key players like Rian O’Neill and Barry McCambridge have been instrumental, with O’Neill earning the Man of the Match title in their previous encounter against Kerry. Armagh’s depth and consistency position them as formidable contenders.

Form Path Summary

Kerry’s journey has been turbulent, marked by a surprising loss to Meath but followed by a convincing win over Cavan. Armagh, on the other hand, have faced a series of top-tier teams, including Tyrone, Donegal, Derry, Dublin, and Galway, showcasing their ability to compete at the highest level.

Recent Form & Stats

Kerry (Last 5): W–L–W–W–L

 
  • Avg Points Scored: 21.2
  • Avg Points Conceded: 18.4

Kerry’s offensive strength is evident, though their defense has shown vulnerabilities, particularly in the midfield area.

Armagh (Last 5): W–W–L–W–W

  • Avg Points Scored: 19.6
  • Avg Points Conceded: 16.8

Armagh’s balanced approach, combining solid defense with effective scoring, has been key to their success.

 

Key Players to Watch

Kerry:

  • David Clifford: A dynamic forward whose scoring ability can change the course of the game.
  • Seánie O’Shea: Returning from injury, his playmaking skills are crucial for Kerry’s midfield stability.

Armagh:

  • Rian O’Neill: An influential playmaker known for his scoring and leadership on the field.
  • Barry McCambridge: A versatile defender whose robust tackling can disrupt Kerry’s attacking flow.

What to Watch Live

  • The midfield battle, especially given Kerry’s injury concerns in this area.
  • How Armagh’s defense handles the threat posed by David Clifford.
  • The impact of substitutions in the latter stages of the match.

Where to Watch Live

The match will be broadcast live on RTÉ2 and available for streaming via the RTÉ Player. International viewers can watch through GAA+.

Betting Insight

  • Match Odds: Armagh 4/5, Kerry 13/8
  • Winning Margin – Either Team by 1-3 Points: Reflects the anticipated close nature of the game.
  • Over/Under Total Points (35.5): Given both teams’ scoring capabilities, the over is a plausible bet.

This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with both teams bringing unique strengths to the field. While Kerry’s offensive prowess is notable, Armagh’s resilience and tactical adaptability may give them the edge.

Prediction

This quarter-final is poised to be a tightly contested affair. While Kerry’s offensive capabilities, led by David Clifford, are undeniable, Armagh’s balanced and cohesive team play may give them the edge. The match could hinge on the midfield contest and the effectiveness of each team’s defensive strategies.

 
  • Predicted Winner: Armagh
  • Expected Scoreline: Armagh 1-17 – Kerry 1-15
  • Tactical X-Factor: Armagh’s ability to control the midfield and limit Kerry’s scoring opportunities, particularly by containing David Clifford, could be decisive.

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