The Daily Star Ireland
On Saturday, July 12, 2025, at 7:00 PM local time (7:00 PM Irish time), Portugal will host Ireland at the Estádio Nacional do Jamor in Lisbon. This historic encounter marks the first-ever senior men’s Test match between the two nations. For Portugal, it’s a significant opportunity to challenge a Tier 1 nation on home soil, while Ireland aims to provide valuable international experience to its emerging talents.
Portugal Overview
Portugal, affectionately known as “Os Lobos,” has been steadily climbing the ranks in European rugby. Under the guidance of head coach Simon Mannix, the team has secured its third Rugby World Cup qualification, showcasing their growing prowess. Key players include captain Tomás Appleton, a versatile centre known for his leadership and defensive skills, and winger Raffaele Storti, whose speed and agility make him a constant threat on the flanks.
Despite recent losses to Romania and Spain in the Rugby Europe Championship, Portugal’s victories over Germany and Belgium earlier in the year highlight their offensive capabilities. Facing Ireland presents a formidable challenge, but it’s also a chance for Portugal to test their mettle against a top-tier team.
Ireland Overview
With many of Ireland’s seasoned players touring with the British & Irish Lions, interim head coach Paul O’Connell has assembled a youthful squad for the summer Tests. Munster scrum-half Craig Casey leads the team as captain, bringing experience and dynamism to the role.
The squad features 13 uncapped players, including promising talents like winger Tommy O’Brien and lock Darragh Murray. This match serves as a crucial platform for these players to gain international exposure and for the coaching staff to assess the depth of Ireland’s rugby talent pool.
Form Path Summary
Portugal:
- Recent matches include a 7–21 loss to Romania and a 31–42 defeat against Spain in the Rugby Europe Championship.
- Earlier victories over Germany (56–14) and Belgium (40–30) demonstrate their attacking potential.
Ireland:
- Concluded the Six Nations with a 22–17 win over Italy.
- Previous matches included a 27–42 loss to France and a 27–18 victory over Wales.
Recent Form & Stats
Portugal (Last 5 Matches):
- Wins: Germany, Belgium
- Losses: Romania, Spain, Scotland
- Average Points Scored: 33.6
- Average Points Conceded: 27.6
Ireland (Last 5 Matches):
- Wins: Italy, Wales, Scotland, England
- Losses: France
- Average Points Scored: 27.0
- Average Points Conceded: 23.4
Key Players to Watch
Portugal:
- Tomás Appleton (Centre): The captain’s leadership and defensive organization are pivotal for Portugal’s structure.
- Raffaele Storti (Wing): Known for his pace and finishing ability, Storti is a constant threat on the outside.
Ireland:
- Craig Casey (Scrum-half): As captain, Casey’s decision-making and tempo control will be crucial.
- Tommy O’Brien (Wing): Making his debut, O’Brien’s performance on the wing will be closely watched.
What to Watch Live
- The battle at the breakdown: Ireland’s young forwards will be tested against Portugal’s experienced pack.
- Backline creativity: Both teams boast dynamic backs capable of producing exciting plays.
- Set-piece execution: Scrums and lineouts will be critical in establishing dominance.
Where to Watch Live
The match will be broadcast live on Virgin Media One in Ireland. International viewers should check local listings or streaming platforms for coverage.
Betting Insight
- Match Odds: Ireland 1/10, Portugal 7/1
- Handicap: Ireland -20
- Over/Under Total Points (45.5): Considering both teams’ recent scoring trends, the over is a plausible bet.
While Ireland enters as the favorite, Portugal’s home advantage and recent form suggest a competitive match.
Prediction
Ireland’s youthful squad, led by Craig Casey, is poised to secure a victory in this historic encounter. However, Portugal’s experience and home support could make for a closely contested match.(autumn-internationals.co.uk)
- Predicted Winner: Ireland
- Expected Scoreline: Ireland 28 – Portugal 20
- Tactical X-Factor: Ireland’s ability to adapt to Portugal’s physicality and maintain discipline will be key to their success.
